Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cruz vs Max Gimenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcio Cruz
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Marcio Cruz

“Pe de Pano”

8-3-0Light HeavyweightRFA

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record6-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
Gracie FusionTeamCulture of Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcio CruzNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Max GimenisNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
46%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.64
69%
Strike defense
47%
0.53
Takedown avg.
0
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcio CruzMax Gimenis
150015501600201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Gimenis66%
Marcio Cruz 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 66% favorite over Marcio Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Marcio Cruz finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Max Gimenis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.