Marcirley Alves vs Nad Narimani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'4"Height5'8"
66"Reach40,5"
135 lbsWeight150 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcirley AlvesNad Narimani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcirley Alves72%
Nad Narimani 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcirley Alves a 72% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcirley Alves finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nad Narimani 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.