Marcirley Alves vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record30-12-2
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'4"Height5'8"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcirley AlvesNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcirley Alves51%
Nik Lentz 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcirley Alves a 51% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nik Lentz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1666), separated by just 7 points.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcirley Alves finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.