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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Ruas vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Ruas
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Marco Ruas

“The King of the Streets”

9-4-2HeavyweightIFL

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-2Record12-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight206 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

Marco Ruas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maurice Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marco RuasNow 1571
If they win+15→ 1586
If they lose-17→ 1554
Maurice SmithNow 1546
If they win+13→ 1559
If they lose-11→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.89
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
20%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Marco RuasMaurice Smith
1550200820092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
7 (78%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Ruas51%
Maurice Smith 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Ruas a 51% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Marco Ruas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1546, a 25-point edge.

Marco Ruas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.