Marco Ruas vs Paul Varelans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-2Record9-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight300 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeam
What's at stake
Marco Ruas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Paul Varelans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1584
If they lose-19→ 1552
If they win+19→ 1527
If they lose-13→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marco RuasPaul Varelans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Ruas55%
Paul Varelans 45%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Ruas a 55% favorite over Paul Varelans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Marco Ruas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1508, a 63-point edge.
Marco Ruas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Varelans 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.