Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Vinicius vs Max Gimenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-4-1Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReach75"
225 lbsWeight238 lbs
Absolute CombatTeamCulture of Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos ViniciusNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Max GimenisNow 1581
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.64
47%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
0%
0.49
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcos ViniciusMax Gimenis
150015501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Gimenis53%
Marcos Vinicius 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 53% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Vinicius's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.

Marcos Vinicius enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Max Gimenis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.