Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Breno vs Takeya Mizugaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
N/AReach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHakkei Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos BrenoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Takeya MizugakiNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Marcos BrenoTakeya Mizugaki
1600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
5 (33%)
Submission
1 (4%)
2 (13%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Breno66%
Takeya Mizugaki 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Breno a 66% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Marcos Breno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcos Breno finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.