Marcos Brigagao vs Mu Bae Choi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight265 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamTeam Tackle
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos BrigagaoMu Bae Choi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Brigagao52%
Mu Bae Choi 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 52% favorite over Mu Bae Choi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mu Bae Choi 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.