Marcos Mariano vs Melvin Guillard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-7-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos MarianoMelvin Guillard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melvin Guillard54%
Marcos Mariano 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Melvin Guillard a 54% favorite over Marcos Mariano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Mariano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1509), separated by just 0 points.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Marcos Mariano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.