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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Mariano vs Simone Patrizi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record7-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Killer BeesTeamAurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos MarianoNow 1509
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
Simone PatriziNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
3.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
37%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcos MarianoSimone Patrizi
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Simone Patrizi58%
Marcos Mariano 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Simone Patrizi a 58% favorite over Marcos Mariano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Mariano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1508), separated by just 1 points.

Simone Patrizi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcos Mariano finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Simone Patrizi 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.