Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Maurice Greene
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'7"
75"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Maurice Greene carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-20→ 1652
If they win+20→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaMaurice Greene
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima70%
Maurice Greene 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 70% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1594, a 78-point edge.
Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Greene 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.