Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record31-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
262 lbsWeight215 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Nikita Krylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov70%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 70% favorite over Marcos Rogerio de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Nikita Krylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1672, a 19-point edge.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.