Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
75"Reach85"
262 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira63%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 63% favorite over Marcos Rogerio de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Renan Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Maurice Greene.
Renan Ferreira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.