Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Richardson Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record8-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Richardson Moreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1681
If they lose-23→ 1649
If they win+23→ 1540
If they lose-9→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRichardson Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima75%
Richardson Moreira 25%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 75% favorite over Richardson Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1517, a 155-point edge.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Richardson Moreira 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.