Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Rosa vs Yusuf Nazokatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcos Rosa
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Marcos Rosa

“Digao”

2-3-0LightweightCESB

1485Average
Yusuf Nazokatov

Yusuf Nazokatov

“Joe / The Persian Prince”

3-3-0LightweightCWFC

1497Average

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record3-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
45.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Nogueira Porto AlegreTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos RosaNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462
Yusuf NazokatovNow 1497
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
28%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcos RosaYusuf Nazokatov
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusuf Nazokatov75%
Marcos Rosa 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusuf Nazokatov a 75% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1497), separated by just 12 points.

Yusuf Nazokatov 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.