Marcos Vinicius vs Sabir Talmoust
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record1-2-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1449
If they lose-16→ 1417
If they win+24→ 1464
If they lose-24→ 1416
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos ViniciusSabir Talmoust
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sabir Talmoust52%
Marcos Vinicius 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Sabir Talmoust a 52% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1433 vs 1440), separated by just 7 points.
Sabir Talmoust enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.