Marcos Vinicius vs Wagner Campos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record12-10-0
StrawweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
115 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ze Mario TeamTeamFight Only
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1454
If they lose-23→ 1406
If they win+15→ 1456
If they lose-17→ 1424
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos ViniciusWagner Campos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wagner Campos54%
Marcos Vinicius 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Wagner Campos a 54% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1429 vs 1441), separated by just 12 points.
Marcos Vinicius enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wagner Campos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Wagner Campos 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.