Marcos Vinicius vs Yao Zhikui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record5-5-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach64.00
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Ze Mario TeamTeam
What's at stake
Yao Zhikui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marcos Vinicius carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1450
If they lose-15→ 1418
If they win+23→ 1471
If they lose-25→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos ViniciusYao Zhikui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yao Zhikui58%
Marcos Vinicius 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Yao Zhikui a 58% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Yao Zhikui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1448 to 1433, a 15-point edge.
Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yao Zhikui 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.