Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Brimage vs Paddy Rutledge

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
TBDTeamSutemi MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus BrimageNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Paddy RutledgeNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcus BrimagePaddy Rutledge
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Rutledge70%
Marcus Brimage 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Rutledge a 70% favorite over Marcus Brimage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1546), separated by just 5 points.

Marcus Brimage enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Marcus Brimage finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Rutledge 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.