Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Buchecha vs Neil Wain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Wain

Neil Wain

“Old Skool”

13-4-0HeavyweightM4TC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight242 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Neil WainNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1474 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
49%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.57
51%
Strike defense
43%
2
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcus BuchechaNeil Wain
1600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcus Buchecha and Neil Wain within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1597), separated by just 4 points.

Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neil Wain 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.