Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Buchecha vs Roy Boughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roy Boughton
us

Roy Boughton

“Black Dynamite”

14-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight253 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Roy BoughtonNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
49%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
51%
Strike defense
52%
2
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
3.24

Trajectory

Marcus BuchechaRoy Boughton
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
4 (80%)
Submission
8 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Buchecha57%
Roy Boughton 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 57% favorite over Roy Boughton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roy Boughton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.

Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roy Boughton 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.