Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-1Record24-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
80"Reach79"
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marcus Buchecha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+32→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1577
If they win+8→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus BuchechaRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann71%
Marcus Buchecha 29%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 71% favorite over Marcus Buchecha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1593, a 117-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.