Marcus Buchecha vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-1Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcus BuchechaTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa61%
Marcus Buchecha 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 61% favorite over Marcus Buchecha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Buchecha's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Marcus Buchecha carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.