Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Buchecha vs Wade Shipp

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wade Shipp
us

Wade Shipp

“Nightmare”

12-5-0HeavyweightXFS

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight240 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Wade ShippNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.29
49%
Strike accuracy
87%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
51%
Strike defense
75%
2
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcus BuchechaWade Shipp
16002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (80%)
Submission
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Buchecha60%
Wade Shipp 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 60% favorite over Wade Shipp in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1589), separated by just 4 points.

Marcus Buchecha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wade Shipp 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.