Marcus Davis vs Paul Taylor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record11-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team IrishTeamTeam Supreme
What's at stake
Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+21→ 1556
If they lose-11→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus DavisPaul Taylor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Davis60%
Paul Taylor 40%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Davis a 60% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1535, a 121-point edge.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcus Davis finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Paul Taylor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.