Marcus Davis vs Paul Taylor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record11-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team IrishTeamTeam Supreme
What's at stake
Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+21→ 1557
If they lose-11→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcus DavisPaul Taylor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Taylor57%
Marcus Davis 43%Elo baseline: 33%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Taylor a 57% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Davis's way (33%).
Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1536, a 120-point edge.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcus Davis finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Paul Taylor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.