Marcus Davis vs Pete Spratt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record25-24-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team IrishTeamTeam Spratt
What's at stake
Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Pete Spratt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1638
If they win+17→ 1500
If they lose-7→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Davis79%
Pete Spratt 21%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Davis a 79% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1483, a 172-point edge.
Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcus Davis finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Pete Spratt 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.