Marcus Davis vs Shonie Carter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record52-32-7
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Team IrishTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Shonie Carter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1638
If they win+17→ 1514
If they lose-7→ 1490
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus DavisShonie Carter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Davis78%
Shonie Carter 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Davis a 78% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1497, a 158-point edge.
Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcus Davis finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.