Marcus Hicks vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-26-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black Sheep MMATeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcus Hicks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1475
If they lose-11→ 1451
If they win+15→ 1505
If they lose-17→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus HicksRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker61%
Marcus Hicks 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 61% favorite over Marcus Hicks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1462, a 28-point edge.
Marcus Hicks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcus Hicks finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.