Marcus Jones vs Matt Mitrione
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach43,0"
265 lbsWeight255 lbs
TeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Matt Mitrione is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcus Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1561
If they lose-17→ 1513
If they win+11→ 1643
If they lose-21→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcus JonesMatt Mitrione
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Mitrione76%
Marcus Jones 24%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Mitrione a 76% favorite over Marcus Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Matt Mitrione holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1530, a 102-point edge.
Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcus Jones finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.