Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Kowal vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-1Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus KowalNow 1558
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcus KowalTomáš Deák
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
3 (60%)
Submission
11 (44%)
1 (20%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák60%
Marcus Kowal 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 60% favorite over Marcus Kowal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1565), separated by just 7 points.

Marcus Kowal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marcus Kowal finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.