Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus LeVesseur vs Morquez Forest

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Minnesota Fight FactoryTeamTop Brother

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus LeVesseurNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Morquez ForestNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
64%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
3.89
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcus LeVesseurMorquez Forest
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
7 (32%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (23%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Morquez Forest73%
Marcus LeVesseur 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Morquez Forest a 73% favorite over Marcus LeVesseur in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus LeVesseur's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Marcus LeVesseur finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.