Marcus McGhee vs Petr Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Petr Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marcus McGhee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1707
If they win+9→ 1829
If they lose-15→ 1805
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1778 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcus McGheePetr Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan85%
Marcus McGhee 15%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 85% favorite over Marcus McGhee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Petr Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1820 to 1718, a 102-point edge.
Marcus McGhee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marcus McGhee finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.
Marcus McGhee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.