Marcus McGhee vs Petr Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamArchangel Michael Club
What's at stake
Petr Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marcus McGhee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1693
If they win+8→ 1825
If they lose-16→ 1801
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1778 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus McGheePetr Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan73%
Marcus McGhee 27%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 73% favorite over Marcus McGhee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Petr Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1704, a 113-point edge.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marcus McGhee finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.
Marcus McGhee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.