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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Nash vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Marcus Nash
us

Marcus Nash

“The Bounty Hunter”

5-3-0MiddleweightLFA

1552Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
MMA LabTeamReal Kombat Technique

What's at stake

Willer Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Marcus Nash carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcus NashNow 1552
If they win+29→ 1581
If they lose-19→ 1533
Willer AlvesNow 1625
If they win+19→ 1644
If they lose-29→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcus NashWiller Alves
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (60%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Willer Alves58%
Marcus Nash 42%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Willer Alves a 58% favorite over Marcus Nash in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Willer Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1552, a 73-point edge.

Willer Alves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marcus Nash finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.