Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Nash vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Marcus Nash
us

Marcus Nash

“The Bounty Hunter”

5-2-0MiddleweightLFA

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
MMA LabTeamReal Kombat Technique

What's at stake

Willer Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marcus Nash carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcus NashNow 1579
If they win+25→ 1604
If they lose-23→ 1556
Willer AlvesNow 1598
If they win+23→ 1621
If they lose-25→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcus NashWiller Alves
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Nash54%
Willer Alves 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Nash a 54% favorite over Willer Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Willer Alves's way (47%).

Willer Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1579, a 19-point edge.

Marcus Nash enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Willer Alves enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marcus Nash finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.