Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Silveira vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
242 lbsWeight236 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus SilveiraNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Marcus SilveiraŁukasz Brzeski
15501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Łukasz Brzeski53%
Marcus Silveira 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 53% favorite over Marcus Silveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1535), separated by just 2 points.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcus Silveira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.