Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus Silveira vs Nicolaj Wagner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
242 lbsWeight249 lbs
American Top TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus SilveiraNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Nicolaj WagnerNow 1532
If they win+24→ 1556
If they lose-24→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcus SilveiraNicolaj Wagner
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolaj Wagner56%
Marcus Silveira 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 56% favorite over Marcus Silveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus Silveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1532), separated by just 1 points.

Marcus Silveira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nicolaj Wagner 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.