Combat Edge Intelligence

Marek Bartl vs Sam Spengler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-16-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
JiuJitsu Academy BratislavaTeamSmash Gyms

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marek BartlNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Sam SpenglerNow 1525
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marek BartlSam Spengler
14001450150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (12%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marek Bartl and Sam Spengler within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1525), separated by just 1 points.

Sam Spengler enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marek Bartl finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sam Spengler 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.