Combat Edge Intelligence

Marek Samociuk vs Mike Kyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Kyle
us

Mike Kyle

“MAK”

23-19-1HeavyweightPC

1555Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record23-19-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight220 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
Mike KyleNow 1555
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
16.35
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.84

Trajectory

Marek SamociukMike Kyle
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
17 (74%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (9%)
5 (56%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk70%
Mike Kyle 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 70% favorite over Mike Kyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Kyle's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Kyle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marek Samociuk finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Mike Kyle 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.