Maria Oliveira vs Marina Spasić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record7-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
69"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBorilački klub CDS Novi Sad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maria OliveiraMarina Spasić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marina Spasić51%
Maria Oliveira 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marina Spasić a 51% favorite over Maria Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maria Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Marina Spasić 86%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.