Combat Edge Intelligence

Maria Oliveira vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
69"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maria OliveiraNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
39%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
45%
Strike defense
54%
0.95
Takedown avg.
2.88
44%
Takedown accuracy
24%
48%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Maria OliveiraNicolle Caliari
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Maria Oliveira and Nicolle Caliari within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1594), separated by just 6 points.

Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Maria Oliveira carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.