Maria Oliveira vs Nicolle Caliari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
69"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Maria OliveiraNicolle Caliari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maria Oliveira65%
Nicolle Caliari 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Maria Oliveira a 65% favorite over Nicolle Caliari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolle Caliari's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.