Maria Oliveira vs Tabatha Ricci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record12-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
69"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamBrazilian Thai
What's at stake
Tabatha Ricci is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Maria Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1607
If they lose-13→ 1575
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-19→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maria OliveiraTabatha Ricci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tabatha Ricci62%
Maria Oliveira 38%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Tabatha Ricci a 62% favorite over Maria Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Tabatha Ricci holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1588, a 69-point edge.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.