Combat Edge Intelligence

Maria Oliveira vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record11-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
69"Reach 59"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maria OliveiraNow 1588
If they win+15→ 1603
If they lose-17→ 1571
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+17→ 1594
If they lose-15→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
39%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
45%
Strike defense
42%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.36
44%
Takedown accuracy
12%
48%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Maria OliveiraVanessa Demopoulos
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (38%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Maria Oliveira70%
Vanessa Demopoulos 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Maria Oliveira a 70% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1577), separated by just 11 points.

Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Maria Oliveira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.