Maria Oliveira vs Vanessa Demopoulos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record11-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
69"Reach 59"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Maria Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Demopoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-17→ 1576
If they win+17→ 1580
If they lose-15→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Maria OliveiraVanessa Demopoulos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maria Oliveira63%
Vanessa Demopoulos 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Maria Oliveira a 63% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Maria Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1563, a 30-point edge.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Maria Oliveira finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.