Marina Rodriguez vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-2Record18-13-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'3"
65"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai BrasilTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Marina Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michelle Waterson-Gomez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
If they win+15→ 1597
If they lose-9→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marina RodriguezMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marina Rodriguez70%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 30%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Marina Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Marina Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1582, a 93-point edge.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marina Rodriguez finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.
Marina Rodriguez and Michelle Waterson-Gomez share 2 common opponents: Gillian Robertson and Amanda Lemos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.