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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Rodriguez vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-2Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'1"
65"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marina RodriguezNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.64
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
47%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.28
Takedown avg.
0.54
50%
Takedown accuracy
14%
63%
Takedown defense
62%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Marina RodriguezTecia Pennington
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (7%)
9 (53%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington54%
Marina Rodriguez 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 54% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1658), separated by just 6 points.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marina Rodriguez finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Marina Rodriguez and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Mackenzie Dern.

Marina Rodriguez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2021
Mackenzie Dern
LossDecision (split) · 2022