Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Rodriguez vs Virna Jandiroba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-2Record23-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'3"
65"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai BrasilTeamFight House

What's at stake

Virna Jandiroba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+20→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1663
Virna JandirobaNow 1770
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-20→ 1750

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.28
Takedown avg.
2.85
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
63%
Takedown defense
74%
0.21
Submission avg.
1.52

Trajectory

Marina RodriguezVirna Jandiroba
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
1 (6%)
Submission
14 (61%)
9 (53%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Virna Jandiroba80%
Marina Rodriguez 20%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Virna Jandiroba a 80% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Virna Jandiroba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1675, a 95-point edge.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marina Rodriguez finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Virna Jandiroba 65%.

Marina Rodriguez and Virna Jandiroba share 4 common opponents: Amanda Lemos, Xiaonan Yan, Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2021
Mackenzie Dern
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinDecision (split) · 2022
Xiaonan Yan
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossTKO · 2022
Amanda Lemos
WinSubmission · 2024
WinTKO · 2021
Amanda Ribas
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021