Marina Rodriguez vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-2Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
65"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai BrasilTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1662
If they win+13→ 1747
If they lose-19→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marina RodriguezXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Xiaonan Yan72%
Marina Rodriguez 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Xiaonan Yan a 72% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1675, a 59-point edge.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marina Rodriguez finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Marina Rodriguez and Xiaonan Yan share 3 common opponents: Jéssica Andrade, Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern.
Marina Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.