Marina Spasić vs Nicolle Caliari
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nicolle Caliari54%
Marina Spasić 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 54% favorite over Marina Spasić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marina Spasić's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1584), separated by just 3 points.
Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.
Marina Spasić carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record9-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
64"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Borilački klub CDS Novi SadTeamThai Brasil· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marina SpasićNicolle Caliari