Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Spasić vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
64"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Borilački klub CDS Novi SadTeamThai Brasil· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marina SpasićNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.88
Not available
Takedown accuracy
24%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Marina SpasićNicolle Caliari
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolle Caliari62%
Marina Spasić 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 62% favorite over Marina Spasić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1594), separated by just 7 points.

Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Marina Spasić carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.