Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Spasić vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
-Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Borilački klub CDS Novi SadTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marina SpasićNow 1590
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-24→ 1566
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Marina SpasićNicolle Caliari
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marina Spasić51%
Nicolle Caliari 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marina Spasić a 51% favorite over Nicolle Caliari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolle Caliari's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1594), separated by just 4 points.

Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.