Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Bautista vs Miles Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record15-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

Mario Bautista is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Miles Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mario BautistaNow 1774
If they win+13→ 1787
If they lose-19→ 1755
Miles JohnsNow 1702
If they win+19→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.38
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
55%
Strike defense
67%
1.91
Takedown avg.
1.29
38%
Takedown accuracy
27%
56%
Takedown defense
83%
0.85
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mario BautistaMiles Johns
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (13%)
7 (41%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Bautista71%
Miles Johns 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Bautista a 71% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Mario Bautista holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1702, a 72-point edge.

Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mario Bautista finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 40%.

Mario Bautista carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.