Mario Bautista vs Raoni Barcelos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamLaerte Barcelos Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1806
If they lose-16→ 1774
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mario BautistaRaoni Barcelos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mario Bautista and Raoni Barcelos within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1790 vs 1780), separated by just 10 points.
Mario Bautista enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mario Bautista finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.
Mario Bautista and Raoni Barcelos share 2 common opponents: Umar Nurmagomedov and Ricky Simón.
Mario Bautista carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.