Mario Bautista vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Mario Bautista is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ricky Simón carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1788
If they lose-18→ 1756
If they win+13→ 1747
If they lose-11→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mario BautistaRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Bautista61%
Ricky Simón 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Bautista a 61% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mario Bautista holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1734, a 40-point edge.
Mario Bautista finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Mario Bautista and Ricky Simón share 2 common opponents: Vinicius Oliveira and Brian Kelleher.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.